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So the way to read through this is always that after we are under twenty% within the X-axis (fewer than 20% drinking water in the oil), There exists zero on the y-axis (the water will not likely flow throughout the rock at all). As we get previously mentioned twenty% h2o saturation, the flow of water will increase promptly, till earlier mentioned eighty% h2o, there isn't any movement of oil in the least.
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From November 2004 to January 2005, There's a sudden and rather sharp drop in production by about 350kbd. This coincides with a pointy value break down from $45 to $35 (On this collection which is usually a little decreased the the oft quoted NYMEX entrance thirty day period, or West Texas Intermediate location cost) I believe at this time Euan and I are in reasonably near arrangement that this is probably anything alongside the lines of "Phew, rates are dropping, let's rest many of our more tired/problematic wells."
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So, we can conclude that so long as there is red/pink in the simulations earlier mentioned, It will likely be doable to provide oil at quite reduced water cuts by drilling horizontally into Individuals oil layers. The overall drinking water Slice of the field can be to some degree managed by generating conclusions regarding how A great deal to make out with the crimson-pink zone, and just how much to create in the watery inexperienced parts.